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Binomial Distribution: Choose CDF for "At Most 15 Students Play Sport" Probability
Mathematics (Probability)
Grade 11 (Senior High School)
Question Content
A binomial probability density function should be used because the question asks for determining the probability that, at most, 15 students play a sport. A binomial probability density function should be used because the question asks for determining the probability that exactly 15 students play a sport. A binomial cumulative distribution function should be used because the question asks for determining the probability that at most, 15 students play a sport. A binomial cumulative distribution function should be used because the question asks exactly 25% of students play a sport, to determine the probability that, at most, 15 students play a sport. A binomial probability should not be used because the events are not independent of each other.
Correct Answer
A binomial cumulative distribution function should be used because the question asks for determining the probability that at most, 15 students play a sport.
Detailed Solution Steps
1
Step 1: Identify the core question: selecting 50 students with 25% sport participation, find the probability of at most 15 playing a sport.
2
Step 2: Eliminate options that reference PDF, since PDF only calculates exact counts, not cumulative "at most" values.
3
Step 3: Eliminate the option claiming binomial cannot be used: student selections are independent (random sample, large population assumption), so binomial is valid.
4
Step 4: Select the option that correctly links "at most" to the cumulative distribution function, which sums probabilities from 0 to 15 successes.
Knowledge Points Involved
1
Binomial Distribution Validity
Binomial distributions require independent trials, fixed n, two outcomes, and constant p. For random sampling from a large population, trials are treated as independent even without replacement (10% rule: sample size <10% of population).
2
Cumulative vs Exact Probability
Exact probability uses PDF for single outcomes, while cumulative probability uses CDF for ranges like "at most" or "at least".
3
Critical Reading for Probability Questions
Identifying key phrases (e.g., "at most", "exactly") is essential to selecting the correct probability calculation method.
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